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The Math of Minutes for Rondo, Ray, Pierce, KG, Perk & Co.

October 4, 2009
A beautiful site to see.

A thing of beauty.

Ok. Let us hack away at probable minutes for the starters and reserves to see if we can make some sense out of this. We’ll also assume that this is how the first couple of months SHOULD shape up if all goes according to plan (read: no one gets hurt). The importance of Doc playing regulator with the minutes is beyond explanation: we have aging legs that need to be kept in check during the regular season in order to ensure rest for the long haul of the playoffs.

Every minute that a bench player is on the floor is an additional minute of rest for our veteran starters. Not only do we give the reserves a chance to develop more and build fluid cohesion in their play, but we prevent the fatal compression of minutes by our starters in the middle of games. Additional minutes saved now will reward us with allowable minutes for the postseason.

This could get confusing, but I’m pretty sure this is the best way of looking at where minutes can go:

  • 48 shared minutes at point guard
  • 48 shared minutes at off guard
  • 48 shared minutes at small forward
  • 96 shared minutes at the 4/5 spots (easier to combine these positions)

At the point guard position:

  • Rondo gets 40 of the 48 minutes (Rondo is ready for this kind of mileage)
  • TA/Scal gets 8 of the 48 minutes (TA/Scal won’t play PG, but they’ll get the 8 leftover minutes and be on the floor)

At the shooting guard position:

  • Ray gets 34 of the 48 minutes (Would Ray’s minutes increase IF he is healthy and the front office has no intentions of re-signing him?)
  • Eddie gets 14 of the 48 minutes (Eddie could see more minutes if he takes some of the PG reserve minutes)
The new additions.

The new additions.

At the small forward position:

  • Pierce gets 32 of the 48 minutes (would love to even see him at 30 minutes per game and thus giving Quisy an additional 2 minutes)
  • Quisy gets 16 of the 48 minutes (even though Quisy will be playing the 3 spot, we know he’ll be handling the ball)

At the 4/5 positions:

  • Perk gets 32 of the 96 minutes (this could be more than he’ll really get; I could see his PT being in the 30 minute range, which would afford a couple of extra minutes for Sheed and Baby)
  • KG gets 26 of the 96 minutes (26 seems reasonable: just more than half the game; but if games are out of reach or a blowout, and it’s clear what the outcome will be, I’d love to see his time reduced earlier on)
  • Sheed gets 19 of the 96 minutes (would love to see him get more minutes, but where do the minutes come from?)
  • Baby gets 19 of the 96 minutes (would love to see him also get more minutes, but again, where do the minutes come from?)

I don’t see JR/Billy seeing many minutes unless we have players in foul trouble or there are injuries.
Lester and Shelden shouldn’t see much of anything unless there are injuries (they won’t make the active 12-man roster if everyone is healthy).

Ok. Crazy things to think about. We have the flexibility to put a freakishly awesome mix of starters and reserves on the floor. Let’s think about line up potentials:

Consistent starters:

  • Rondo, Ray, Pierce, KG, Perk

Consistent 2nd unit:

  • Quisy (playing 3, handling the ball), TA/Scal, 3ddi3, Baby, Sheed

Mix of starters and reserves (middle of the 2nd quarter, end of the 3rd quarter, start of the 4th quarter, etc.):

  • Rondo, Ray, Quisy, Baby, Perk
  • Quisy, Ray, Pierce, KG, Sheed
  • Rondo, Pierce, Quisy, KG, Sheed
  • Quisy, 3ddi3, Pierce, Baby, Sheed
  • Rondo, Pierce, KG, Sheed, Perk

Oh my god. My head is spinning. Is yours?

What are we seeing here? An UNBELIEVABLE mix of units on the floor at any given time. I am crying for Doc to mix up playeres in games to make matchup nightmares for opposing teams. We have the possibility to make other teams weep in their uniforms in the middle of the floor after coming out of a huddle. The five guys on the floor can go from speedy athletic (Rondo, Ray, Quisy, KG, Sheed), to powerhouse strong (Quisy, Ray, Pierce, Sheed, Perk), to a hybrid of each (Rondo, Quisy, Pierce, KG, Sheed).

The minutes matter. The minutes matter. The minutes matter. I’ll say it again: the minutes freakin’ matter! With these many lineup possibilities, we can prevent over-use and allow guys to rest. I’m envisioning a free-flowing bench that gets comfortable playing with any mix of starters on the floor. Am I crazy in thinking this? Hopefully not.

1… 2… 3… Ubuntu.

Ubuntu. All up in ya face.

Ubuntu. All up in ya face.

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6 Comments leave one →
  1. October 4, 2009 9:07 pm

    The possibilities are endless. I hate to make this a cliche’, but everything hinges on KG’s health-if Ticket can stay healthy, this team is going to be DEADLY. By midseason, when these guys have had some time to get to know each other (on the floor), this team could be better than 07’s. We’ll see..LOSCY, I noticed you Tweet your new blogposts-did you know you can use Twitterfeed and it will automatically check your blog for new posts and Tweet a link automatically? It’s pretty sweet. http://www.Twitterfeed.com

  2. October 4, 2009 9:52 pm

    The possibilities are endless, and that depth is what we were missing last year.
    I’m signing up for TwitterFeed as we speak– thanks, KWAPT! Congrats on your Red’s Hall of Fame induction. Your family should be proud.

  3. October 4, 2009 11:11 pm

    It’s crazy to think that last year we won 62 games while playing the second half of the season with (sometimes) only an 7-8 man rotation.

    It’s scary to think what we can do this season w this mix of talent.

    Feast or Famine in the NBA.

    Nice Read.

  4. October 5, 2009 12:02 am

    I hear ya, Nick. There’s a sense of relief and excitement knowing that the best starting 5 returns with more cohesion, and better yet, we have a nasty deep bench to make things a bit easier on the aging shoulders of the Big 3.

Trackbacks

  1. Today’s Celtics Links 10/5 | Boston Sports Nation
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